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27 февраля 2012
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Re: INSIGHT - RUSSIA - Latest in Clan Wars (protect for now)

1717932

From   Marko.papic@stratfor.com

To        goodrich@stratfor.com

secure@stratfor.com

Others MessageId: <1010288085.163381261422490689.JavaMail.root@core.stratfor.com>

InReplyTo: 4B2FC61D.7090905@stratfor.com

Text

Wow... Putin is letting it go both ways then.

 

----- Original Message -----

From: "Lauren Goodrich"

To: "Secure List" , "George Friedman"

 

Sent: Monday, December 21, 2009 1:01:49 PM GMT -06:00 Central America

Subject: INSIGHT - RUSSIA - Latest in Clan Wars (protect for now)

 

CODE: RU101

PUBLICATION: checking

ATTRIBUTION: Stratfor sources in the Kremlin

SOURCE DESCRIPTION: The Prosecutor General

SOURCE RELIABILITY: A

ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1

HANDLER: Lauren

 

The past few weeks have been particularly difficult between the clans.

 

Surkov/Medvedev tandem has purge a slew of people from

Sechin/Patrusheva**s clan. 21 officials from the Interior Ministry, 5 FSB

Generals in the Defense Ministry and Moscowa**s police chief Pronin have

all been purged.

 

In response, Sechin/Patrusheva**s group has decided that they need to come

after me and my groupa**the Prosecutor Generala**s office. They have used

their foot soldier, Alexander Bastrykin, in the Investigative Committee to

launch a purge within my office. Bastrykin vows to not be owned by Sechin,

though I have never believed this and now my proof is here. Thus far they

have gotten fired the head of my Investigative Committee, Anatoli

Bagmeta**who was critical to aiding me in my work inside our

investigations against the Siloviki. Bastrykin is planning on firing the

heads of the regional Investigative Committees as well, 12 in all.

 

The problem is that Sechin/Patrushev want to come after me (Chaika), but

Surkov will not allow such a move. What I have been told is that Putin has

laid ground rules on how far each clan can go to purge the other. For

example, Surkova**s request to have Interior Minister Nurgaliyev sacked

was quickly nixed by Putin. Now that Sechina**s move to get me fired has

also been shielded from above. So instead there are a lot of purges

happening on the second tier, like these in the past few weeks.

--

Lauren Goodrich

Director of Analysis

Senior Eurasia Analyst

STRATFOR

T: 512.744.4311

F: 512.744.4334

lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com

www.stratfor.com

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